Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 103.275856 117.308428 132.774087 151.121397 172.342051 196.171485 225.036878
2026-01-04 84.296628 102.921560 125.165106 153.837540 190.031874 234.483929 293.642764
2026-01-11 71.470161 91.783675 117.456584 152.575530 199.815966 261.797288 350.324007
2026-01-18 64.193694 85.904894 114.647148 155.950657 214.551995 295.875723 419.314506
2026-01-25 57.443668 79.560945 110.002734 155.613217 223.343861 322.005797 479.947136
2026-02-01 52.596974 75.113006 107.201112 157.122573 234.393520 352.074412 549.997926
2026-02-08 47.467929 69.609379 102.132647 154.426881 238.386975 371.418882 605.311412
2026-02-15 44.094849 66.304173 99.876880 155.585488 248.231628 400.768979 680.853064
2026-02-22 41.316240 63.591729 98.178563 157.293159 258.931061 432.503710 764.791069
2026-03-01 37.752355 59.290252 93.518054 153.548976 259.823218 447.273870 819.724706
2026-03-08 34.775411 55.659759 89.583565 150.554076 261.538100 463.452379 879.308659
2026-03-15 32.443585 52.884446 86.797636 149.213595 265.958133 484.910497 952.166825
2026-03-22 31.117446 51.888420 87.271022 154.361072 284.227484 537.387574 1102.816095
2026-03-29 29.519128 50.302599 86.612958 157.467929 299.262653 586.315297 1256.899546
2026-04-05 27.452709 47.684778 83.831123 156.191108 305.375045 617.844115 1378.239063
2026-04-12 26.246841 46.499372 83.529667 159.656762 321.578506 673.118104 1566.571128
2026-04-19 24.672293 44.483187 81.460575 159.310428 329.611895 711.568423 1721.658236
2026-04-26 23.471715 43.061993 80.385965 160.859865 341.945526 761.686839 1917.629444
2026-05-03 21.900795 40.791688 77.431635 158.092628 344.159709 788.183417 2055.967155
2026-05-10 20.886234 39.526117 76.367302 159.281967 355.673866 839.188481 2274.656876
2026-05-17 20.008076 38.457587 75.602037 161.034984 368.753486 896.274287 2524.879733
2026-05-24 18.677664 36.363908 72.519481 157.191453 367.600106 916.045377 2666.167685
2026-05-31 17.526305 34.553572 69.887292 154.117290 367.991697 940.080437 2827.050929